Friday, April 23, 2010

First round winners and losers.

Just to put down on the record what I think, so I can look back on it in ten years and laugh at how stupid I was:

First round Winners:
Seahawks - Russell Okung, LT, Oklahoma State, 6th. The Seahawks got another Walter Jones. Okung is going to have the best career of any of the tackles in this draft, and the Seahawks got him without having to do anything but wait.
Packers - Brian Bulaga, T, Iowa, 23rd. A tackle projected by many to go in the top 10, and he fell right into the Packers' laps in the bottom third of the round.
Cowboys - Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State, 24th. Clearly the best receiver in this draft. I'm not saying he's a sure thing, but at #24, great value.
Cardinals - Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee, 26th. The kind of space-eater that teams long for in the middle.

First round Losers:
Redskins - Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma, 4th. Not that he's a bad player, but this is a pick based on upside and measurables rather than production. Williams wasn't a great college LT last year, and if he's not a LT, he's not worth picking at #4.
Bills - CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson, 9th. Reggie Bush. He'll be a useful player in the NFL, but he's not going to be a true feature back.
Jaguars - Tyson Alualu, DE, Cal, 10th. Who? What? Here? How? Why?
Giants - Jason Pierre-Paul, South Florida, 15th. A one year wonder whose year wasn't all that wonderful. Falling in love with potential is dangerous.

As for the storm around Tim Tebow going 25th, I can't believe I'm saying this, but I think it's a good pick. In January, I thought Tebow was a 3rd rounder at best. However, his dedication in revamping his throwing motion impressed me, as did the result; a motion that will lead to better ball-security and gets the pass out of his hands much more quickly. Tebow will still have a lot of adjusting to do, but he came a long way in a hurry. For all the overblown talk about his character, his working as hard as he did in the weeks following the end of the college season says a lot about his character in a much more tangible form than the usual turgid panegyrics from the media.

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